Modelling influenza A H5N1 vaccination strategy scenarios in the household poultry sector in Egypt

El Masry Ihab, Rijks Jolianne, Peyre Marie-Isabelle, Taylor Nick, Lubroth Juan, Jobre Yilma. 2014. Modelling influenza A H5N1 vaccination strategy scenarios in the household poultry sector in Egypt. Tropical Animal Health and Production, 46 (1) : pp. 57-63.

Journal article ; Article de recherche ; Article de revue à facteur d'impact
Published version - Anglais
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Abstract : Highly pathogenic avian influenza (AI) due to H5N1 virus was first reported in Egypt in February 2006; since then, the government has allowed avian influenza vaccination in poultry. The present study evaluated the impact of AI vaccination in terms of cumulative annual flock immunity (CAFI): the percentage of bird × weeks protected by immunity. This evaluation took account of the combined effects of vaccination coverage, vaccine efficacy (VE), and different characteristics of household poultry production on the effectiveness of the adopted vaccination strategy (VS), and provided alternative options for improvement. The evaluation used a population and vaccination model that calculates the CAFI. Participatory approaches were employed in 21 villages to develop the vaccination and flock parameters required for the model. The adopted VS were compared in the model with three alternative VS scenarios in terms of the CAFI. Vaccination coverage varied among villages but was generally low (between 1 and 48 %; median 14 %). Under the adopted VS, the CAFI predicted for the villages ranged from 2 to 31 %. It was concluded that despite the enormous effort put into rural household poultry AI vaccination by the Egyptian government, village CAFI is unlikely to be maintained at the levels required to significantly reduce the virus load and restrict transmission. In HPAI-endemic countries that consider AI vaccination as one of the disease control options, the high cost of mass AI vaccination campaigns and their achievable benefits must be compared with other available control measures, which may include targeted vaccination. Achievable vaccination coverage, VE and the different characteristics of commercial and household (village) poultry production are key parameters determining the feasibility and cost-effectiveness of different AI vaccination strategies. (Résumé d'auteur)

Mots-clés Agrovoc : Influenzavirus aviaire, Vaccination, Gestion du risque, Volaille, Aviculture, Immunologie, Immunité, Modèle de simulation, Évaluation de l'impact, Grippe aviaire

Mots-clés géographiques Agrovoc : Égypte

Mots-clés libres : Avian influenza, HPAI H5N1, Egypt, Vaccination coverage, Flockimmunity, Vaccination strategy

Classification Agris : L73 - Animal diseases

Champ stratégique Cirad : Axe 4 (2014-2018) - Santé des animaux et des plantes

Auteurs et affiliations

  • El Masry Ihab, FAO (EGY)
  • Rijks Jolianne, Dutch Wildlife Health Centre (NLD)
  • Peyre Marie-Isabelle, CIRAD-ES-UPR AGIRs (FRA) ORCID: 0000-0002-0887-3418
  • Taylor Nick, University of Reading (GBR)
  • Lubroth Juan, FAO (ITA)
  • Jobre Yilma, FAO (EGY)

Source : Cirad-Agritrop (

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