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Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth's tropical forests

Sullivan Martin J. P., Lewis Simon L., Affum-Baffoe Kofi, Castilho Carolina V., Costa Flávia R.C, Cuni Sanchez Aida, Ewango Corneille, Hubau Wannes, Marimon Beatriz S., Monteagudo-Mendoza Abel, Qie Lan, Sonké Bonaventure, Vásquez Martinez R., Baker Timothy R., Brienen Roel, Feldpausch Ted R., Galbraith David, Gloor Emanuel, Malhi Yadvinder, Aiba Shin-Ichiro, Alexiades Miguel N., Almeida Everton, Almeida de Oliveira Edmar, Alvarez Davila Esteban, Alvarez Loayza Patricia, Andrade Ana, Aparecida Vieira Simone, Aragao Luiz E.O.C., Araujo-Murakami Alejandro, Arets Eric J. M. M., Arroyo Luzmila, Ashton Peter, Aymard Gerardo A., Baccaro Fabrício B., Banin Lindsay F., Baraloto Christopher, Barbosa Camargo Plínio, Barlow Jos, Barroso Jorcely, Bastin Jean-François, Batterman Sarah A., Beeckman Hans, Begne Serge K., Bennett Amy C., Berenguer Erika, Berry Nicholas, Blanc Lilian, Boeckx Pascal, Bogaert Jan, Bonal Damien, Bongers Frans, Bradford Matt, Brearley Francis Q., Brncic Terry, Brown Foster, Burban Benoit, Camargo Jose Luis C., Castro Wendeson, Cerón Carlos, Cerruto Ribeiro Sabina, Chama Moscoso Victor, Chave Jérôme, Chézeaux Eric, Clark Connie J., Coelho de Souza Fernanda, Collins Murray, Comiskey James A., Cornejo Valverde Fernando, Corrales Medina Massiel, Da Costa Lola, Dančák Martin, Dargie Greta C., Davies Stuart J., Davila Cardozo Nallaret, De Haulleville Thales, Brilhante de Medeiros Marcelo, del Aguila Pasquel Jhon, Derroire Géraldine, Di Fiore Anthony, Doucet Jean-Louis, Dourdain Aurélie, Droissant Vincent, Duque Luisa Fernanda, Ekoungoulou Romeo, Elias Fernando, Erwin Terry, Esquivel-Muelbert Adriane, Fauset Sophie, Ferreira Joice, Flores Llampazo Gerardo, Foli Ernest G., Ford Andrew, Gilpin Martin, Hall Jefferson, Hamer Keith C., Hamilton Alan C., Harris David, Hart Terese, Hédl Radim, Herault Bruno, et al.. 2020. Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth's tropical forests. Science, 368 (6493) : pp. 869-874.

Journal article ; Article de recherche ; Article de revue à facteur d'impact
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Liste HCERES des revues (en SHS) : oui

Thème(s) HCERES des revues (en SHS) : Anthropologie-Ethnologie; Economie-gestion; Psychologie-éthologie-ergonomie; Sociologie-démographie

Abstract : The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (−9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth's climate.

Mots-clés Agrovoc : forêt tropicale, Résistance à la température, Tolérance à la chaleur, Réchauffement global, Changement climatique, adaptation aux changements climatiques, Réponse de la plante

Classification Agris : K01 - Forestry - General aspects
P40 - Meteorology and climatology

Champ stratégique Cirad : CTS 6 (2019-) - Changement climatique

Auteurs et affiliations

  • Sullivan Martin J. P., University of Leeds (GBR) - auteur correspondant
  • Lewis Simon L., University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Affum-Baffoe Kofi, Forestry Commission (GHA)
  • Castilho Carolina V., EMBRAPA (BRA)
  • Costa Flávia R.C, INPA (BRA)
  • Cuni Sanchez Aida, University of York (GBR)
  • Ewango Corneille, Wildlife Conservation Society (COD)
  • Hubau Wannes, University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Marimon Beatriz S., Universidade de Mato Grosso (BRA)
  • Monteagudo-Mendoza Abel, Jardin Botanico de Missouri (PER)
  • Qie Lan, University of Lincoln (GBR)
  • Sonké Bonaventure, Université de Yaoundé (CMR)
  • Vásquez Martinez R., Jardin Botanico de Missouri (PER)
  • Baker Timothy R., University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Brienen Roel, University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Feldpausch Ted R., University of Exeter (GBR)
  • Galbraith David, University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Gloor Emanuel, University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Malhi Yadvinder, University of Oxford (GBR)
  • Aiba Shin-Ichiro, Hokkaido University (JPN)
  • Alexiades Miguel N., University of Kent (GBR)
  • Almeida Everton, Universidade Estadual do Oeste do Parana (BRA)
  • Almeida de Oliveira Edmar, UFMS (BRA)
  • Alvarez Davila Esteban, Universidad Nacional de Colombia (COL)
  • Alvarez Loayza Patricia, Duke University (USA)
  • Andrade Ana, INPA (BRA)
  • Aparecida Vieira Simone, UNICAMP (BRA)
  • Aragao Luiz E.O.C., University of Exeter (GBR)
  • Araujo-Murakami Alejandro, Museo de Historia Natural Noel Kempff Mercado (BOL)
  • Arets Eric J. M. M., Wageningen University and Research Centre (NLD)
  • Arroyo Luzmila, Universidad Autónoma Gabriel Rene Moreno (BOL)
  • Ashton Peter, Harvard University (USA)
  • Aymard Gerardo A., Herbario Universitario (VEN)
  • Baccaro Fabrício B., Universidade do Estado do Amazonas (BRA)
  • Banin Lindsay F., Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (GBR)
  • Baraloto Christopher, Florida International University (USA)
  • Barbosa Camargo Plínio, Universidade de São Paulo (BRA)
  • Barlow Jos, Lancaster University (GBR)
  • Barroso Jorcely, Lancaster University (GBR)
  • Bastin Jean-François, Institute of Integrative Biology (CHE)
  • Batterman Sarah A., University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Beeckman Hans, Royal Museum for Central Africa (BEL)
  • Begne Serge K., University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Bennett Amy C., University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Berenguer Erika, University of Oxford (GBR)
  • Berry Nicholas, The Landscapes and Livelihoods Group (GBR)
  • Blanc Lilian, CIRAD-ES-UPR Forêts et sociétés (FRA)
  • Boeckx Pascal, University of Ghent (BEL)
  • Bogaert Jan, Université de Liège (BEL)
  • Bonal Damien, INRAE (FRA)
  • Bongers Frans, Wageningen University and Research Centre (NLD)
  • Bradford Matt, CSIRO (AUS)
  • Brearley Francis Q., MMU (GBR)
  • Brncic Terry, Wildlife Conservation Society (COD)
  • Brown Foster, WHRC (USA)
  • Burban Benoit, INRAE (FRA)
  • Camargo Jose Luis C., INPA (BRA)
  • Castro Wendeson, UFAC (BRA)
  • Cerón Carlos, Universidad Central del Ecuador (ECU)
  • Cerruto Ribeiro Sabina, UFAC (BRA)
  • Chama Moscoso Victor, Jardin Botanico de Missouri (PER)
  • Chave Jérôme, CNRS (FRA)
  • Chézeaux Eric, Rougier-Gabon (GAB)
  • Clark Connie J., Duke University (USA)
  • Coelho de Souza Fernanda, University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Collins Murray, University of Edinburgh (GBR)
  • Comiskey James A., National Park Service (USA)
  • Cornejo Valverde Fernando, Proyecto Castaña (PER)
  • Corrales Medina Massiel, Universidad Nacional de San Agustín de Arequipa (ARG)
  • Da Costa Lola, Universidade Federal de Pará (BRA)
  • Dančák Martin, Palacký University Olomouc (CZE)
  • Dargie Greta C., University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Davies Stuart J., STRI (USA)
  • Davila Cardozo Nallaret, Universidad Nacional de la Amazonia Peruana (PER)
  • De Haulleville Thales, Royal Museum for Central Africa (BEL)
  • Brilhante de Medeiros Marcelo, EMBRAPA (BRA)
  • del Aguila Pasquel Jhon, IIAP (PER)
  • Derroire Géraldine, CIRAD-ES-UMR Ecofog (GUF) ORCID: 0000-0001-7239-2881
  • Di Fiore Anthony, University of Texas (USA)
  • Doucet Jean-Louis, AgroParisTech (BEL)
  • Dourdain Aurélie, CIRAD-ES-UMR Ecofog (GUF) ORCID: 0000-0002-6847-0434
  • Droissant Vincent, Université de Montpellier (FRA)
  • Duque Luisa Fernanda, Fundacion con Vida,Medellín (COL)
  • Ekoungoulou Romeo, Beijing Forestry University (CHN)
  • Elias Fernando, UFPA (BRA)
  • Erwin Terry, National Museum of Natural History (USA)
  • Esquivel-Muelbert Adriane, University of Birmingham (GBR)
  • Fauset Sophie, University of Plymouth (GBR)
  • Ferreira Joice, EMBRAPA (BRA)
  • Flores Llampazo Gerardo, UNJBG (PER)
  • Foli Ernest G., FORIG (GHA)
  • Ford Andrew, CSIRO (AUS)
  • Gilpin Martin, University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Hall Jefferson, Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute (PAN)
  • Hamer Keith C., University of Leeds (GBR)
  • Hamilton Alan C.
  • Harris David, Royal Botanic Garden (GBR)
  • Hart Terese, Lukuru Wildlife Research Foundation (COD)
  • Hédl Radim, Institute of Botany (CZE)
  • Herault Bruno, CIRAD-ES-UPR Forêts et sociétés (CIV) ORCID: 0000-0002-6950-7286
  • et al.

Source : Cirad-Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/595857/)

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