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La modélisation multi-agent : un outil pour analyser les dynamiques de passage entre formations forestières et agroforestières à l'échelle d'une région

Proton Hubert, Nidkumagenge C., Bousquet François, Guizol Philippe. 1997. La modélisation multi-agent : un outil pour analyser les dynamiques de passage entre formations forestières et agroforestières à l'échelle d'une région. In : L'agroforesterie pour un développement durable. Recherche fondamentale et modélisation, applications tempérées et méditerranéennes = Agroforestry for sustainable land-use. Fundamental research and modelling temperate and Mediterranean applications. CIRAD-Forêt, INRA, CE, Languedoc-Roussillon-Conseil régional. Montpellier : CIRAD, pp. 443-447. Atelier International sur L'agroforesterie pour un Développement Rural Durable, Montpellier, France, 23 June 1997/29 June 1997.

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Titre anglais : Multi-agent models for analyzing dynamics between forest and agroforest at a region level

Abstract : Multi-agent models for analyzing dynamics between forest and agroforest at a region level. Relationships between different land-uses such as forests, agroforests, fallows and crops are not usually analyzed at a regional or national level. In Burundi, up to now, experts are not able to understand from where the fuelwood is coming, what is the resource and how the resource is changing through years. We analysed 9 decades of agroforestry dynamics in the Burundian region of Kayanza. In this region natural forest decreased while first fallows then crops and, more recently, agroforest appeared. We built hypotheses to explain this landuse history, and a model based on a multi-agent system. We tested the consistency between our hypotheses and the region's history by different simulation experiences. The first results show that spatial distribution and sharing rules among stakeholders are really relevant in the explanation of these dynamics.

Mots-clés Agrovoc : Modèle de simulation, Modèle, Utilisation des terres, Dynamique des populations, Population végétale

Mots-clés géographiques Agrovoc : Burundi

Mots-clés complémentaires : Formation végétale naturelle

Classification Agris : U10 - Mathematical and statistical methods
E11 - Land economics and policies
F70 - Plant taxonomy and geography

Auteurs et affiliations

  • Proton Hubert
  • Nidkumagenge C.
  • Bousquet François, CIRAD-GERDAT-GREEN (FRA) ORCID: 0000-0002-4552-3724
  • Guizol Philippe, CIRAD-FORET-ECONOMIE (FRA)

Autres liens de la publication

Source : Cirad - Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/388956/)

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