Analysis of foodcrop farmers strategy by a simulation model : the climatic and economic crisis (1997-1998) in Indonesia

Gérard Françoise, Marty Isabelle. 2000. Analysis of foodcrop farmers strategy by a simulation model : the climatic and economic crisis (1997-1998) in Indonesia. In : Tomorrow's agriculture: incentives, institutions, infrastructure and innovations : 24 th International Conference of the IAAE, Berlin, Germany, 13-18 August 2000. s.l. : s.n., 7 p. International Conference of Agricultural Economists. 24, Berlin, Allemagne, 13 August 2000/18 August 2000.

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Abstract : This paper used a micro-macro simulation model to evaluate the impact of the climatic and economic crisis on foodcrop producers in Indonesia. Both the climatic and the financial crises have had a negative impact on the income of Javanese foodcrop farmers. Nevertheless, agriculturai profitability has improved for those farmers who control a sufficiently large area of land and who were not too much affected by the drought , although this improvement is generally overshadowed by the decrease in non agricultural income, they are considerably better situated than other sectors of the economy. For others in the rural area, the decrease in the profitability of their activities has been combined with a sharp drop in the opportunities for off-farm employment. This has caused landless farmers and small farmers, either in the rainfed area or in the soybean zone, severe economic distress. Rural poverty is considerably aggravated by the crisis and an increase of the inequalities in the foodcrop sector, due to the crisis, is obvious. (Résumé d'auteur)

Mots-clés Agrovoc : Crise économique, Politique économique, Production alimentaire, Modèle de simulation

Mots-clés géographiques Agrovoc : Indonésie

Classification Agris : E10 - Agricultural economics and policies
U10 - Mathematical and statistical methods

Auteurs et affiliations

  • Gérard Françoise, CIRAD-AMIS-ECOPOL (FRA)
  • Marty Isabelle, CIRAD-AMIS-ECOPOL (FRA)

Autres liens de la publication

Source : Cirad - Agritrop (

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