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Agricultural trade liberalization in a world of uncertainty : discussion of the results of a world CGE model

Boussard Jean-Marc, Gérard Françoise, Piketty Marie-Gabrielle, Christensen Ane-Kathrine, Voituriez Tancrède. 2003. Agricultural trade liberalization in a world of uncertainty : discussion of the results of a world CGE model. In : International Conference on Policy Modeling, July 3-5, 2003, Istanbul, Turkey. s.l. : s.n. ECOMOD 2003 : International Conference On Policy Modeling, Istanbul, Turquie, 3 July 2003/5 July 2003.

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Autre titre : Libéralisation du commerce agricole dans un monde d'incertitude : discussion des résultats d'un modèle d'équilibre général informatisé mondial

Abstract : In this paper, we try to evaluate the change in welfare gains due to trade liberalization when imperfect information is considered. The results of two versions of a CGE model, using GTAP database and representing goods as well as capital flows, are compared. In the first one, a standard world CGE approach is followed. In the second version we included risk aversion, imperfect information and production lag in the agricultural sector. After a brief description of the two versions, changes in welfare, represented by the income of two types of household (middle-low and middle-high) in three regions (Europe, United States, Rest of the World) after agricultural trade liberalisation are presented. Theoretical and political consequences of the results are discussed (Résumé des auteurs)

Mots-clés Agrovoc : Pauvreté, Libéralisation des échanges, Analyse économique, situation économique, Modèle, Commerce international, Marché des produits de base, Revenu, Politique agricole, Information sur le marché, Application des ordinateurs, Traitement des données

Mots-clés complémentaires : Modèle d'équilibre général, Modélisation mathématique

Classification Agris : E10 - Agricultural economics and policies
E71 - International trade
E51 - Rural population

Auteurs et affiliations

  • Boussard Jean-Marc, INRA (FRA)
  • Gérard Françoise, CIRAD-AMIS-ECOPOL (FRA)
  • Piketty Marie-Gabrielle, CIRAD-AMIS-ECOPOL (BRA)
  • Christensen Ane-Kathrine, OCDE (FRA)
  • Voituriez Tancrède, CIRAD-AMIS-ECOPOL (FRA)

Source : Cirad - Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/529785/)

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