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Endogenous risk and long run effects of liberalization in a global analysis framework

Boussard Jean-Marc, Gérard Françoise, Piketty Marie-Gabrielle, Ayouz Mourad, Voituriez Tancrède. 2006. Endogenous risk and long run effects of liberalization in a global analysis framework. Economic Modelling, 23 (3) : pp. 457-475. Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis. 7, Washington, États-Unis, 17 June 2004/19 June 2004.

Journal article ; Article de revue à facteur d'impact
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Autre titre : Risques endogènes et effets à long term de la libéralisation dans un cadre d'analyse globale

Liste HCERES des revues (en SHS) : oui

Thème(s) HCERES des revues (en SHS) : Economie-gestion

Abstract : In a classical Walrassian framework of smoothly functioning markets and comparative static analysis, the beneficial effects of trade liberalization are well known. In the real world, production decisions develop along time. They are fringed with uncertainty, and subject to unfulfilled expectations. Depending upon demand elasticity, such phenomena may lead to "chaotic motion". A world computable general equilibrium model is developed that contains such specificities and scenarios are run with and without agricultural liberalization. Results suggest that liberalization is not likely to improve welfare. Despite logical difficulties, efforts have been done to test the model against really observed time series. 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved

Mots-clés Agrovoc : Libéralisation des échanges, Marché des produits de base, Commerce international, Fixation des prix, Risque, Modèle mathématique, Offre et demande, technique de prévision

Classification Agris : E10 - Agricultural economics and policies
E71 - International trade

Champ stratégique Cirad : Axe 5 (2005-2013) - Politiques publiques, pauvreté et inégalités

Auteurs et affiliations

  • Boussard Jean-Marc, INRA (FRA)
  • Gérard Françoise, CIRAD-TERA-UPR Normes et marchés (FRA)
  • Piketty Marie-Gabrielle, CIRAD-TERA-UPR Normes et marchés (BRA)
  • Ayouz Mourad
  • Voituriez Tancrède, CIRAD-TERA-UPR Normes et marchés (FRA)

Autres liens de la publication

Source : Cirad - Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/535713/)

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