Foresight for all: Co-elaborative scenario building and empowerment

Bourgeois Robin, Penunia Esther, Bisht Sonali, Boruk Don. 2017. Foresight for all: Co-elaborative scenario building and empowerment. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 124 : pp. 178-188.

Journal article ; Article de recherche ; Article de revue à facteur d'impact
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Quartile : Q1, Sujet : PLANNING & DEVELOPMENT / Quartile : Q2, Sujet : BUSINESS

Liste HCERES des revues (en SHS) : oui

Thème(s) HCERES des revues (en SHS) : Economie-gestion

Abstract : We present here a co-elaborative scenario building approach, called Participatory Prospective Analysis (PPA) and discuss its relevance for empowering local communities/organizations. This approach is adapted from the French “La Prospective”. It is used as an action research engaging local farming communities in expanding their understanding of their own futures. Three cases of local implementation at farmer community level in India, Indonesia, and the Philippines illustrate how this approach was implemented. They are part of a global project in the field of food, agriculture and rural development, aiming at balancing the capacity to use the future, which is currently not fairly distributed to the detriment of local stakeholders, organizations and communities. Our results focus on the emergence of futures literacy as a capability, its connection to local agency and societal transformation. Our discussion highlights what in this approach makes the use of scenarios empowering, beyond its participatory features. The capacity to use the future has a great potential for local agency, even if it does not guarantee that communities will have the power or the willingness to directly engage in actions. Nevertheless, this approach seems to be a promising avenue for making everyone a future-literate potential agent of change. (Résumé d'auteur)

Mots-clés Agrovoc : communautés locales, Développement rural, Étude de cas, Autonomisation, Méthodologie, Recherche, Alphabétisation, approches participatives, prospective studies [EN]

Mots-clés géographiques Agrovoc : Inde, Philippines, Indonésie

Mots-clés complémentaires : Recherche-action, Prospective

Mots-clés libres : Scenario, Co-elaboration, Futures literacy, Capability, Rural development, Local agency

Classification Agris : E14 - Development economics and policies
U30 - Research methods
E51 - Rural population

Champ stratégique Cirad : Axe 5 (2014-2018) - Action publique pour le développement

Agence(s) de financement européenne(s) : European Commission

Projet(s) de financement européen(s) : Support to the Global Forum on Agricultural Research

Auteurs et affiliations

  • Bourgeois Robin, CIRAD-ES-UMR ART-DEV (ITA)
  • Penunia Esther, Asian Farmers' Association for Sustainable Rural Development (PHL)
  • Bisht Sonali, Institute of Himalayan Environmental Research and Education (IND)
  • Boruk Don, Aliansi Petani Indonesia (IDN)

Source : Cirad-Agritrop (

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