Agritrop
Home

Simulating the impacts of climate variability and change on crop varietal diversity in Mali (West-Africa) using agent-based modeling approach

Belem Mahamadou, Bazile Didier, Coulibaly Harouna. 2018. Simulating the impacts of climate variability and change on crop varietal diversity in Mali (West-Africa) using agent-based modeling approach. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 21 (2):e8, 18 p.

Journal article ; Article de recherche ; Article de revue à facteur d'impact Revue en libre accès total
[img]
Preview
Published version - Anglais
Use under authorization by the author or CIRAD.
Belem-2018_JASSS_Simulating the Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on Crop Varietal Diversity in Mali Using ABM .pdf

Télécharger (3MB) | Preview

Quartile : Q1, Sujet : SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY

Abstract : This paper presents a generic, agent-based model that simulates the dynamics of crop varietal diversity at the village level in Mali under different socio-economic, environmental and policy scenarios. The model is designed to integrate social, economic, environmental, and policy factors . A participatory approach with scientists, farmers and policy makers has been implemented to achieve this goal. This approach combines role playing games with agent-based modelling. A set of scenarios are elaborated to evaluate the possible impacts of policy interventions and climate change on agrobiodiversity dynamics. Simulations showed how farmers manage crop varietal diversity to cope with the local climate variability for their annual crop production. The portfolio of varieties increases under stable and good climate condition and decrease under less favourable and variable climate conditions. In addition, depending on the climate condition, farmers allocate preferentially land to varieties with higher yields.

Mots-clés géographiques Agrovoc : Mali

Mots-clés libres : Participatory modelling, Climate change, Adaptation, Agrobiodiversity, Mali

Classification Agris : P40 - Meteorology and climatology
F30 - Plant genetics and breeding

Champ stratégique Cirad : Axe 1 (2014-2018) - Agriculture écologiquement intensive

Auteurs et affiliations

  • Belem Mahamadou, Université Nazi Boni (BFA) - auteur correspondant
  • Bazile Didier, CIRAD-DRS (FRA) ORCID: 0000-0001-5617-9319
  • Coulibaly Harouna, IER (MLI)

Source : Cirad-Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/587519/)

View Item (staff only) View Item (staff only)

[ Page générée et mise en cache le 2021-05-06 ]