An agent-based model to explore scenarios of adaptation to climate change in an alpine tourism destination

Balbi Stefano, Perez Pascal, Giupponi Carlo. 2010. An agent-based model to explore scenarios of adaptation to climate change in an alpine tourism destination. In : 3rd World Congress on Social SimulationComplex Systems (WCSS 2010), September 6-9, 2010, Kassel, Germany. s.l. : s.n., 8 p. WCSS 2010. 3, Kassel, Allemagne, 6 Septembre 2010/9 Septembre 2010.

Résumé : The European Alpine region is one of the most sensitive to climate change impacts. ClimAlpTour is a European research project of the Alpine Space Programme, dealing with the expected decrease in snow and ice cover. The research reported herein analyses the municipality of Auronzo di Cadore (22,000 ha) in the Dolomites. The local economy depends on tourism which is currently focused on the summer season. Since recently the Community Council is considering options on how to stimulate a further development of the winter tourism. This paper refers to a prototype agent-based model, called AuronzoWinSim, for the assessment of alternative scenarios of future local development, taking into account complex spatial and social dynamics and interactions. Different typologies of winter tourists compose the set of human agents. Climate change scenarios are used to produce snow cover projections. AuronzoWinSim is planned for use in a participatory context with groups of local stakeholders.

Classification Agris : U10 - Informatique, mathématiques et statistiques
P40 - Météorologie et climatologie
000 - Autres thèmes
E14 - Économie et politique du développement

Auteurs et affiliations

• Balbi Stefano, University of Venice (ITA)
• Perez Pascal, CIRAD-ES-UPR GREEN (AUS)
• Giupponi Carlo, University of Venice (ITA)

Source : Cirad - Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/557848/)

Métriques

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