Maize price volatility: Does market remoteness matter?

Ndiaye Moctar, Maître d'Hôtel Elodie, Le Cotty Tristan. 2015. Maize price volatility: Does market remoteness matter?. Washington : World Bank, 31 p. (Policy Research Working Paper, 7202)

Résumé : This paper addresses the role of market remoteness in explaining maize price volatility in Burkina Faso. A model of price formation is introduced to demonstrate formally that transport costs between urban and rural markets exac¬erbate maize price volatility. Empirical support is provided to the proposition by exploring an unusually rich data set of monthly maize price series across 28 markets over 2004–13. The methodology relies on an autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model to investigate the statistical effect of road quality and distance from urban consumption cen¬ters on maize price volatility. The analysis finds that maize price volatility is greatest in remote markets. The results also show that maize-surplus markets and markets bordering Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana and Togo have experienced more vola¬tile prices than maize-deficit and non-bordering markets. The findings suggest that enhancing road infrastructure would strengthen the links between rural markets and major consumption centers, thereby also stabilizing maize prices.

Classification Agris : E70 - Commerce, commercialisation et distribution
J11 - Manutention, transport, stockage et conservation des produits d'origine végétale

Auteurs et affiliations

• Ndiaye Moctar, UM1 (FRA)
• Maître d'Hôtel Elodie, CIRAD-ES-UMR MOISA (FRA)
• Le Cotty Tristan, CIRAD-ES-UMR CIRED (FRA)

Source : Cirad-Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/576536/)

Métriques

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