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Mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality (1992-2010): A data driven approach

Desbureaux Sébastien, Mortier Frédéric, Zaveri Esha, van Vliet Michelle T.H., Russ Jason, Rodella Aude Sophie, Damania Richard. 2022. Mapping global hotspots and trends of water quality (1992-2010): A data driven approach. Environmental Research Letters, 17 (11):114048, 9 p.

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Résumé : Clean water is key for sustainable development. However, large gaps in monitoring data limit our understanding of global hotspots of poor water quality and their evolution over time. We demonstrate the value added of a data-driven approach (here, random forest) to provide accurate high-frequency estimates of surface water quality worldwide over the period 1992–2010. We assess water quality for six indicators (temperature, dissolved oxygen, pH, salinity, nitrate-nitrite, phosphorus) relevant for the sustainable development goals. The performance of our modeling approach compares well to, or exceeds, the performance of recently published process-based models. The model's outputs indicate that poor water quality is a global problem that impacts low-, middle- and high-income countries but with different pollutants. When countries become richer, water pollution does not disappear but evolves. Water quality exhibited a signif icant change between 1992 and 2010 with a higher percentage of grid cells where water quality shows a statistically significant deterioration (30%) compared to where water quality improved (22%).

Mots-clés Agrovoc : développement durable, pollution de l'eau, hydrologie

Mots-clés géographiques Agrovoc : Afrique au sud du Sahara

Mots-clés libres : Water quality, Sustainable development goals, Random forest, Data-driven modelling

Champ stratégique Cirad : CTS 5 (2019-) - Territoires

Agences de financement hors UE : World Bank Group, Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek

Auteurs et affiliations

  • Desbureaux Sébastien, Université de Montpellier (FRA) - auteur correspondant
  • Mortier Frédéric, CIRAD-ES-UPR Forêts et sociétés (FRA)
  • Zaveri Esha, The World Bank (USA)
  • van Vliet Michelle T.H., Utrecht University (NLD)
  • Russ Jason, The World Bank (USA)
  • Rodella Aude Sophie, The World Bank (USA)
  • Damania Richard, The World Bank (USA)

Source : Cirad-Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/603945/)

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