Foresight in a research institution : a critical review of two exercises

De Lattre-Gasquet Marie, Petithuguenin Philippe, Sainte-Beuve Jérôme. 2003. Foresight in a research institution : a critical review of two exercises. Journal of Forecasting, 22 : 203-217.

Liste HCERES des revues (en SHS) : oui

Thème(s) HCERES des revues (en SHS) : Economie-gestion

Résumé : Foresight is a powerful tool for imagining possible futures, for raising public awareness, for helping decision-making and addressing questions related to the relationship between science and society. In this article we make a critical analysis of two foresight exercises organized by a research institution. A precise description of the exercises conducted on the futures of the cocoa commodity chain and the hevea commodity chain helps to understand the possible processes of a foresight exercise, what foresight can achieve and what kinds of difficulties can occur. From these experiences, proposals are made to facilitate the development of strategic intelligence in a research institution and improve the linkages between foresight, evaluation and programme formulation. The role of foresight in transforming knowledge and in pushing a closed system into a political arena is also shown.

Mots-clés Agrovoc : Theobroma cacao, Hévéa, technique de prévision, politique de la recherche, traitement de l'information, réseau de recherche, gestion de projet

Mots-clés complémentaires : Prospective

Classification Agris : C30 - Documentation et information
A50 - Recherche agronomique

Auteurs et affiliations

• De Lattre-Gasquet Marie, CIRAD-DG-Direction générale (FRA) ORCID: 0000-0002-7874-9762
• Petithuguenin Philippe, CIRAD-CP-CACAO (FRA)
• Sainte-Beuve Jérôme, CIRAD-CP-HEVEA (FRA)

Source : Cirad - Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/515000/)

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