Boussard Jean-Marc, Gérard Françoise, Piketty Marie-Gabrielle, Christensen Ane-Kathrine, Voituriez Tancrède.
2002. Agricultural trade liberalization in a world of uncertainty : discussion of the results of a world CGE model.
In : Sustainable Development and the General Equilibrium Approach. 5th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, June 5-7, 2002, Taipei, Taiwan
Autre titre : Libéralisation du commerce agricole dans un monde d'incertitude : discussion des résultats d'un modèle d'équilibre général informatisé mondial
Résumé : In this paper, we try to evaluate changes in welfare gains and their distribution due to trade liberalisation when imperfect information is considered. The results of two versions of a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, using GTAP database and representing goods as well as capital flows, are compared. In the first version, a standard world CGE approach is followed. In the second version we included risk aversion, imperfect information and production lag in the agricultural sector. After a brief description of the two versions, changes in welfare, represented by the income of two types of household (middle-low and middle-high) in three regions (Europe, United States, Rest of the World) after agricultural trade liberalisation are presented. Theoretical and political consequences of the results are discussed.
Mots-clés Agrovoc : pauvreté, libéralisation des échanges, analyse économique, situation économique, modèle, commerce international, marché des produits de base, revenu, politique agricole, information sur le marché, application des ordinateurs, traitement des données
Mots-clés complémentaires : Modèle d'équilibre général, Modélisation mathématique
Classification Agris : E10 - Économie et politique agricoles
E71 - Commerce international
E51 - Population rurale
Auteurs et affiliations
- Boussard Jean-Marc, INRA (FRA)
- Gérard Françoise, CIRAD-AMIS-ECOPOL (FRA)
- Piketty Marie-Gabrielle, CIRAD-AMIS-ECOPOL (BRA)
- Christensen Ane-Kathrine, Sygma (FRA)
- Voituriez Tancrède, CIRAD-AMIS-ECOPOL (FRA)
Autres liens de la publication
Source : Cirad - Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/522934/)
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