Complementarity of empirical and process-based approaches to modelling mosquito population dynamics with Aedes albopictus as an example - Application to the development of an operational mapping tool of vector populations

Tran Annelise, Mangeas Morgan, Demarchi Marie, Roux Emmanuel, Degenne Pascal, Haramboure Marion, Le Goff Gilbert, Damiens David, Gouagna Louis-Clément, Herbreteau Vincent, Dehecq Jean-Sébastien. 2020. Complementarity of empirical and process-based approaches to modelling mosquito population dynamics with Aedes albopictus as an example - Application to the development of an operational mapping tool of vector populations. PloS One, 15 (1):e0227407, 21 p.

Url - jeu de données - Dataverse Cirad : https://doi.org/10.18167/DVN1/XF2I3L / Url - jeu de données - Dataverse Cirad : https://doi.org/10.18167/DVN1/APVHYM

Quartile : Q2, Sujet : MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES

Liste HCERES des revues (en SHS) : oui

Thème(s) HCERES des revues (en SHS) : Psychologie-éthologie-ergonomie; Staps

Résumé : Mosquitoes are responsible for the transmission of major pathogens worldwide. Modelling their population dynamics and mapping their distribution can contribute effectively to disease surveillance and control systems. Two main approaches are classically used to understand and predict mosquito abundance in space and time, namely empirical (or statistical) and process-based models. In this work, we used both approaches to model the population dynamics in Reunion Island of the 'Tiger mosquito', Aedes albopictus, a vector of dengue and chikungunya viruses, using rainfall and temperature data. We aimed to i) evaluate and compare the two types of models, and ii) develop an operational tool that could be used by public health authorities and vector control services. Our results showed that Ae. albopictus dynamics in Reunion Island are driven by both rainfall and temperature with a non-linear relationship. The predictions of the two approaches were consistent with the observed abundances of Ae. albopictus aquatic stages. An operational tool with a user-friendly interface was developed, allowing the creation of maps of Ae. albopictus densities over the whole territory using meteorological data collected from a network of weather stations. It is now routinely used by the services in charge of vector control in Reunion Island.

Mots-clés Agrovoc : Aedes albopictus, modèle de simulation, modèle dynamique, dynamique des populations, vecteur de maladie, évaluation du risque, modélisation

Mots-clés géographiques Agrovoc : La Réunion, France

Mots-clés libres : Modelling, Mosquito, Aedes albopictus, Population dynamics, Reunion Island

Classification Agris : U10 - Informatique, mathématiques et statistiques
L72 - Organismes nuisibles des animaux

Champ stratégique Cirad : CTS 4 (2019-) - Santé des plantes, des animaux et des écosystèmes

Agences de financement européennes : European Research Council

Projets sur financement : (EU) Revolutionizing Insect Control

Auteurs et affiliations

• Tran Annelise, CIRAD-ES-UMR TETIS (REU) ORCID: 0000-0001-5463-332X - auteur correspondant
• Mangeas Morgan, IRD (FRA)
• Demarchi Marie, Maison de la télédétection (FRA)
• Roux Emmanuel, IRD (FRA)
• Degenne Pascal, CIRAD-ES-UMR TETIS (REU) ORCID: 0000-0003-0062-8511
• Haramboure Marion, CIRAD-BIOS-UMR ASTRE (REU) ORCID: 0000-0002-5738-8216
• Le Goff Gilbert, IRD (FRA)
• Damiens David, IRD (FRA)
• Gouagna Louis-Clément, IRD (FRA)
• Herbreteau Vincent, IRD (FRA)
• Dehecq Jean-Sébastien, Regional Health Agency (REU)

Source : Cirad-Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/594792/)

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