Hubert Bernard, Caron Patrick, Guyomard Hervé.
2014. Conclusion [Agrimonde. Scenarios and challenges for feeding the world in 2050].
In : Agrimonde. Scénarios and challenges for feeding the world in 2050. Paillard Sandrine (ed.), Treyer Sébastien (ed.), Dorin Bruno (ed.)
Résumé : The Agrimonde foresight study enabled us to address questions that had not yet been formulated as such in mainstream scientific debates. Not that the facts reported or the assumptions put forward were entirely unpredictable or unknown; but they prompted the experts, followed by the various audiences to whom the results were presented, to consider the actions to be undertaken from a different point of view, primarily in relation to the type of future wished for, or not, in the decades to come. The value of baseline scenarios is not that they predict a sure future, which no one can actually anticipate as far ahead as 2050, but that they define the narrow path of possible futures that are likely to unfold if we fail to broaden our options now. Alternative scenario(s) can thus be mobilised to identify the objectives that we need to set when broadening the options explored. This has been the role of the Agrimonde 1 scenario, in contrast to the baseline scenario provided by Agrimonde GO
Mots-clés Agrovoc : agriculture, alimentation, technique de prévision, politique alimentaire, développement durable, produit agricole, produit alimentaire, commerce international, consommation alimentaire, comportement alimentaire, intensification, sécurité alimentaire, prospection
Classification Agris : E10 - Économie et politique agricoles
E14 - Économie et politique du développement
A01 - Agriculture - Considérations générales
E73 - Économie de la consommation
S01 - Nutrition humaine - Considérations générales
E71 - Commerce international
Champ stratégique Cirad : Axe 3 (2014-2018) - Alimentation durable
Auteurs et affiliations
- Hubert Bernard, INRA (FRA)
-
Caron Patrick, CIRAD-DGDRS (FRA)
ORCID: 0000-0002-8494-2243
- Guyomard Hervé, INRA (FRA)
Autres liens de la publication
Source : Cirad - Agritrop (https://agritrop.cirad.fr/573777/)
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